Is Something Brewing at Archer Daniels Midland?
Two billion dollars is a lot of cash for "general corporate purchases". Sounds more like it is for an "investment in long term opportunity".
Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) announced that it plans to offer and sell, subject to market and other conditions, 35,000,000 equity units and to grant the underwriters an option to purchase 5,000,000 additional equity units to cover over-allotments. Each equity unit has a stated amount of $50, for a possible aggregate offering amount of $2 billion if the underwriters exercise their over-allotment option in full.
The equity units will initially consist of a contract to purchase ADM common stock and a 5.0% beneficial ownership interest in a $1,000 principal amount debenture due June 1, 2041. Under the purchase contract, holders are required to purchase ADM common stock no later than on June 1, 2011. ADM intends to use substantially all of the net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including repayment of short-term indebtedness and investment in long-term growth opportunities.
I wrote in the past about possible ADM targets, the latest being this one about a possible Cuban investment. ADM has been pretty upfront about its desire to expand it capacity in other nations with lower feedstock costs.
One would have to pretty naive to think that a $2 billion capital raising was for anything but.
What will be really interesting is not the "will it or won't it" question but the "where" will it decide to do it. My guess is ADM will be taking a trip south........ outside of our borders...
Companies like Pacific Ethanol (PEIX) and Verasun (VSE) are not cheap by any means. Given their current predicaments, share price aside, I would be shocked if ADM expressed interest. The most diversified of the bunch, The Andersons (ANDE) most likely has no interest in being sold. That leaves Cuba and Brazil as the most likely targets...
Just popping into my head....maybe a rail investment? ADM already has extensive rail operations and is a huge user of the industry, maybe buying into it and profiting with it would help? Either way, it is gonna be fun...
Disclosure: Long ADM
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This article has 7 comments:
L. Johnson
Is it possible that ADM and its peers may find themselves sitting with unused ethanol capacity in three, five or 10 years?
Are investors appropriately evaluating the risks that political ethanol subsidies could be taken away and even replaced by taxes?
What are the chances that corn ethanol can be replaced by non corn ethanol, and are those expectations too optimistic? Why or why not?
Who will buy into the ADM offering? Smart investors or naive ones?
See:
www.crossprofit.com/ar...
CrossProfit
L. Johnson
Talk about insider selling!
This is NOT insider trading. Everything that ADM has done in the past and is doing now is in full view of the publics scrutiny. If you (not you personally) choose to misinterpret or ignore the information, this is not ADM's responsibility to correct.
The 3.8% drop today is the markets way of signaling that it has understood the message. Issuing equity for the sake of paying off previously accumulated debt is dilution by core definition.
On the other hand, issuing equity for the purpose of making a new acquisition is replacing one asset with another so to speak, and is not necessarily dilutive by nature unless there is a large amount of goodwill or excessive premiums built in to the transaction.
CrossProfit
Kidding?!