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148 Comments

    • GDP and the Decline of National Statistics [view article]
      I hope the government can do something with the data on jobs. Losing 50,000 jobs a month is very disheartening... Aug 28 03:37 PM
    • Obama Is Bad for the Economy - Barron's [view article]
      Republicans all know that creating a massive amount of debt leads to gains in productivity.
      People would just relax and retire if they didn't have debts to repay.
      It will be important for our grandchildren to be very, very productive.       Aug 24 08:49 PM
    • Smallcap Stocks: Regaining Their Mojo? [view article]
      Sounds like from your facts that the rally is very close to an end...

      Middle of August is not the best time to go long anything.       Aug 12 02:37 PM
    • Getting More Constructive on Crude Oil [view article]
      Goldman Scams and Morgan Stanley, along with their subsidiary hedge funds control energy prices. If you want to play a poker game with a stacked deck, trade oil with them.

      I love how Goldman upgraded oil services about 4 weeks ago when oil services had just hit the peak in its obvious trading range.

      Goldman would stab your grandma in the back if it were profitable...       Aug 08 12:18 PM
    • Bill Miller on This Tough Market [view article]
      Warren Buffet also said this current downturn would be much longer than most people think it will be.

      The U.S. is in a secular bear market until 2016. Has been a bear market since 2000.
      You have to make good trades to make $ in this kind of market. Buy and hold may or may not beat inflation.       Aug 02 05:43 AM
    • Bear Bottom Yet to Be Seen - Barron's [view article]
      If this market doesn't doesn't decline at least 20% more, I see a stagnate market developing for at least the next 5 years. Oil $ is too much of a burden. There's no reason to be holding long positions in this market until at least that 20% additional correction comes.

      I expect a major decline coming within the next 8 weeks to a new lower trading range. Bear market charts make a major move lower to a new trading range about every 6-7 months. The volume will inevitably dry up late summer.       Jul 27 11:40 PM
    • What's Behind the Slide in Oil and Commodities? [view article]
      Goldman Scams upgraded oil services about 2 weeks ago, when oil services were reaching the top of their range. Great upgrade for a firm trying to exit a long position quickly. Jul 25 09:10 AM
    • Thursday Market: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
      The Fed is there to feed JP Morgan when JP gets asset hungry in bear markets. Jul 17 06:13 AM
    • Putting $1T Subprime Mortgage Losses in Perspective [view article]
      18 months ago, the total amount of owed U.S. mortgage debt on homes was $10.5 trillion - 2/3 of homes had mortgage debt, the other 1/3 were paid off. So the total value of all U.S. homes 18 months ago had to equal somewhere between $16-22 trillion. Considering that properties nationwide are expected by many analysts to decline by at least 20% before this housing bubble fully bursts, the total housing asset valuation loss is going to be around at least $4 trillion.

      Most of the stock markets around the world are getting murdered right now...how much of those trillions of dollars in losses could be directly attributed to the U.S. housing market crash?

      The relevant issue isn't just subprime losses, but the collateral damage to everything else - those who are about to abandon their negative equity house, those who have lost almost half of the value of their stocks.       Jul 12 11:08 AM
    • Nuclear Power's Second Coming Will Lead to a Uranium Boom [view article]
      What about peak uranium? It would be dumb for the U.S. to move from one scarce energy resource to an even scarcer one. I think it's OK to build a small handful of nuclear plants, but 100-200 new plants would just set up another energy crisis in 50-70 years. Jul 09 10:26 AM
    • Three Themes I'm Tracking for Signs of a Reversal [view article]
      How about the $ of oil? Jul 08 07:13 AM
    • Yahoo Invites Microsoft to Make a Proposal 'Immediately' [view article]
      The Yahoo website would quickly deteriorate under MSFT: think Hotmail and MSN. I don't want MSFT to takeover Yahoo. Jul 07 08:18 PM
    • The U.S. Dollar: A Six Month Outlook [view article]
      It's very simple.
      When the U.S. pulls out of Iraq, the dollar will start to rise.       Jul 03 10:35 PM
    • That Was Ugly [view article]
      Isn't the average bear market decline over 35%? Considering that this will probably be one of the worst bear markets in US history outside of the Great Depression, the markets have quite a bit more to fall than just the current relatively puny 20% decline. Jul 01 06:36 AM
    • Petrobras: Set to Become a Global Oil Major - Barron's [view article]
      I agree with the above poster. I don't care about any facts...peak oil is here. Even if there are 20-30 million more barrels/day of oil pumped next year or the year after, I still won't believe it. Jun 30 12:33 AM
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