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Are Home Prices Still Too High?
An Excellent article. Now some are trying to put up housing prices by force. This method will not long last and especially first home buyers should be very careful. Do not try to overpay for those housing market manipulators, pump and dump traders. In addition we should not overpay rent as well. In addition to housing prices now rent also collapsing globally.
Still home prices are over priced. We will see one of the worst burst in the housing sector in Asia during next 10 years. First home buyers should wait until 2013. During this period you will see direction of the housing market.
However post baby boomers are not as strong as baby boomers. Once present baby boomers retire housing market will collapse.
When you buy house now you will have to sell your house in the future at a loss. It is happening all over the world now. Do not get caught to debt trap, mortgage trap and traps of real estate brokers, bankers and real estate agents.
We must try to learn how to value houses, employment rate, world economic situation, demand and supply etc before buying houses. House has become a trading product for some speculators and corrupt investors.
Once houses prices come down by 70% then you can think about buying houses. According to some industrial expert some house prices can come down by 70% in the next 18 months globally.
Rough Economic Seas Toss Many Boats, Including Oil Price
You have more facts than top economist and analysts. Really stock options and higher corporate compensation are part of current bubble.
$35 Oil: Steve Forbes Was Off by Two Years
Steve Forbes is correct. Most top oil analysts, economists couldn’t forecast oil prices correctly.
They said oil is going to $ 200. Gold will go to $2000. Now oil is back to $35. Can we believe? I think it will go to $20 sooner than later.
Next in line there are many inflated assets and commodities to fall further. With wealth destruction and demand destruction how can we expect higher prices for assets?
In a way it is good for consumers. It is also good for many industries who struggling to survive. Inflation will come down. Consumer purchasing power will increase.
This is good lesson for all types of bubble funds who invested in hot sectors, derivatives, real estate and highly risk credit and interest derivatives etc, such as Sovereign funds, Top banks, Insurance giants, hedge funds etc. Really they have destroyed other people’s money, wealth, pension funds and retirement’s funds etc.
Could not they invest in some productive industries instead?
Are Equities Still a Better Investment than Housing?
We are still in the first stage of housing market downturn. Many houses are in negative equity. With falling employment, recession. Slower world growth, banking crisis and newly emerged credit mess will make housing market more and more vulnerable.
Stocks easily can sell even for loss now but not housing. As a result of this prices will drag down further. I do not think any recovery in the housing market for the next 10 years. By the end of next 10 years investment in equity will be better than invest in housing. We can just compare this at the end of next 10 years.
This Is Only the First Round of Selling
Can we believe their forecasts?
They said oil will go to $200 a barrel during this period. Now oil is trading around $60 a barrel
We should be very careful in selecting fund mangers, insurance companies, banks in the future.
They have overleveraged in almost all the areas:
Such as property
Commodity
Currency
In addition dealing in some of the highly risk instruments can bring down entire financial systems.
Commodities: The Next Bubble?
Now almost all types of assets prices are falling. Not only that now their currencies also falling.
We are at the beginning of commodity bear market.
It will take 05 to 10 years to form the next bubble in the commodity market.
Even OPEC cut or even investment banks write reports, still oil and other commodity prices will come down. Sooner than later oil will go down to$35 a barrel.
We know what happened to $200 oil reports? Where is the demand for commodities they said?
Reasons for commodity bubble:
Trading in derivatives.
Speculation
Activity of market participants including investment banks
Now they have created currency and credit card bubble as well.
Three Favorite Mining Investments
Current commoidty bear market will last until 2015.
How Far Will the US Dollar Rally?
On other hand this time, Fed took bold decision by holding rate without any change. I think their main idea is controlling inflation. Sooner than later Fed will increase interest rate as well.
I strongly believe US Dollar will appreciate not only against Pound and Euro but also with baskets of currencies such as AUD, NZD, and YEN with some soft currencies
.
Euro is falling due to Weakness in the European Economy. They have more problems such as falling house prices, credits squeeze, inflation and falling employment etc.
We will see dramatic fall in commodity prices in the next 18 months and because of this American and European industries will have rapid growth especially in companies like Boeing, Airlines, heavy industries, Chicken sector etc.
Their market share for products and services will rise dramatically not only in Europe and The USA but also in newly emerging countries such as China, India, and Brazil etc.
Which Way for the Prices of Oil and Gold?
3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009
As a resluts of this inflation will come down. There will be demand for product and services. Investmet will improve and there will be more job opportunities. Many sectors will recover.Finally we will see recovery in the financil sector and credit market.
Are Airlines Stocks a Contrarian Opportunity?
Steel, Coal and Agriculture Plays Turning Over
I think this is the time to sell our commodity stocks and commodities in in agriculture. energy and industrial materials.
Time to Short Both Long-Term Bonds and Crude
All hot commodity indexes including oil index will come down soon.
Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now.
Oil prices will come down sooner than later.
This is the time to short all hot sectors such as oil and other hot commodities.
Is the Oil Index Set to Fall?
Yes definitely all hot commodity indexes including oil index will come down soon.
Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now.
Oil prices will come down sooner than later.
This is the time to short all hot sectors such as oil and other hot commodities.
Three Reasons Boeing Looks Powerful
I think this the one stock that we shoud keep in our watch list.
Oil prices will come down sooner than later. Demand for their products will increase in the long run.
Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now
Therfore it is better to concentrate on stocks which are going to recover first while leaving hot sectors now.