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  • Inflation Contest: Crude 1-Gold 0
    The Devil and the Deep Sea as they say .. but is it really that ???

    1. Raise Crude and you throttle India and Chinese growth , thereby maintaining US economy as the sole engine. As long as US is the driver what does it matter if Dollar is up or down ?? everybody is pegged to it..

    2. Indian and Chinese growth is due to demand from US. Simply put if US demand dries up ( lets say ) India and China would be up the creek without a paddle.

    3. Reduce the threat of Treasury Bills held by foreign govts by devaluation of dollar .. start manufactuirng in US .. to cater to local demand .. make imports costlier and you have a winning streak..

    4. I think the effect will be pronounced in the coming quarters.
    Buy Dollars and Sell Gold - and you will see dollar rebound to 80+
    on the index by next quarter..

    Jun 08 01:42 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • How Bad Is the Oil Shock of 2008?
    The Fed is responsible for the oil shock along with the US govt and Israel / Iran stand off on nuclear weapons.

    1. Attempt to print the way out of the housing crisis is the cause of the oil bubble ( is it really one ?) . too many dollars running after oil ?? a detailed analysis of which funds backed by which banks are driving the oil futures and it will be plain as american pie for all ....

    2. keep the middle east tension as the prong for mantaining high oil prices : 1. dollar devaluation implicit 2. export inflation 3. boost american exports - reason being to offset the dollars printed to bail out banks / sub prime loans ,,.....

    3.The Era of subsidies is over - there is no more a free meal for any body . The quicker the govts reduce subsidies - the better they may survive as a nation - or they will be wiped out through economic warfare. who needs nukes now a days - we have a more ecological way of maintainng hegemony..

    4. The buubles are economic weapons of mass destruction and I dont see any body hauling the responsible to the courts ....

    5. Obviously the threat ( oil / middle east : alias energy security / food security ) has been identified and a well definied strategy has been put in place and being executed to ensure the freedom of the market place in to the next century irrespective and regardless of who is paying for it.

    6. GOD BLESS AMERICA.
    Jun 07 09:25 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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