The Hammer

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  • Did New Car Sales Bottom in November?
    The days of $99 and a job are over for a long time. New car sales will stay down imo off of peak build rates for a long time too. The thing to look for here is the number of dealerships that continue to close shop. The one down the street from me closed recently and consolidated operations into one building as opposed to two.
    Jan 07 08:19 am |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Housing Market Will Improve with Lower Prices, not Lower Interest Rates
    Agreed the country went down the tubes with this monthly payment craziness. Well it isn't so fun being a debt slave. Is this living?
    No owning a house should not be a huge burden on a family.

    Interest rates are nice but in the end if the avg person lives in a house 7 years you better hope that interest rates stay low for a long time so your future buyer can afford the house you want to sell.
    Houses are unaffordable based on local incomes across the country. No in all areas but in the major regions of the country with higher housing prices houses are still over priced vs local incomes.
    So do not let any realtor just talk about those ponzi mtg rates the price you pay is important so when you have to sell you can find a buyer that can afford it like you.
    Jan 05 12:41 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Are Home Sellers' Price Expectations Really That Inflated?
    "the buyers will just try to screw you down lower than that."

    Oh and all those fools with no money down using someone else's money was not royally screwed by realtwhores and sellers cheerleading the crooked ponzi scheme?

    This exactly what housing became, but houses are an expensive item to maintain and carry people do not realize until they buy one for the first time.

    Houses will continue to plunge until they are at affordable levels vs median incomes in a local region. If i was a buyer today asking would mean nothing. I would base it on the local incomes and in my area that would mean another 15-20% lower prices. Why people buy something that saddles themselves with debt and takes a huge chunk of take home pay is beyond me. It gets old after while since every year taxes go up and cost of living. So what you see this year is not next years or the year after bills.
    Jan 05 12:06 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Are Home Sellers' Price Expectations Really That Inflated?
    To think one's house is worth what some homedebtor fool paid for it is plain non-sense. better measures would be imo replacement cost or based on a historical range of median income. say 2.5 - 4 times depending the quality of the employment opportunities in a region.
    Jan 05 11:27 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Are Home Sellers' Price Expectations Really That Inflated?
    Why realtors take on these listings only makes them look worse in the eyes of the buyer?
    Realtors played a big role in pumping up house prices during the bubble and now their propaganda arm has finally admitted the housing market is in a depression....but before that this unethical organization continually has called a bottom since the peak prices. They have hurt many families who put their blind faith in these thugs.
    House prices in many high markets are still not anywhere near affordable for the local median incomes. When prices drop down to fundamentally sound valuations based on median incomes in the local region then houses will start to sell, but some of the non-sense that is going on by sellers in this market is just silly.
    Jan 05 11:23 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Real Estate Industry: Looking For Another Bailout
    Nothing should be done, but to allow house prices to correct down to affordable levels. Houysing have become a huge burden and are putting massive pressure on families. It is eating up a huge chuink of one's paycheck. House prices would be more fair at about 3.5 tiomes meidan area incomes.

    The NAR realtors builders appraisors and mtg brokers need to suffer for their reckless greedy pumping over the bubble period.

    Oct 19 18:50 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Attractive Dividend Stocks in the Buy Zone
    A p/e near 20 is not cheap or even a good value. This bear market is going to chistle those p/e's down toward 10 times.
    Oct 14 12:35 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • White Mountains Insurance Discusses Berkshire Transaction
    Now the deal is at 1.18 times book value. Bring back Jack. My best guess BV now is about $380-$385 or so with hammering in the equity portfolio.
    Oct 13 09:25 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • News Pitch: Why To Buy News Corp
    You have taken a beating since recommending this magic formula stock.
    Oct 01 20:23 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break?
    Nice site ReEcon.

    It is quite obvious that renting is absoluting cheaper by wide margin vs buying in my area or even vs an income property. Cap rate at current RIP off asking prices is something like 3%. All that headache for 3% cap rate.
    LOL!
    It is amazing to me how the whole group collude together to talk up house prices or will be hesitant to mention huse prices are completely out of wack with incomes. Of course incomes and house prices are different across the country so 3-4 times median income vs house price seems to be a good general rule. You'll see in many areas that is 7-8-9-10 times incomes.
    It does not compute. We have a bunch of fools in this country who like debt slavery.
    Sep 05 14:11 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break?
    Oh one last point i left out if that everyday living expenses have been soaring up like food utilities and gas along with health insurance. House prices will be impacted further to the downside due to these escalating everyday services and items.
    I think many people may be surprised at how long house prices go down and how far they drop.
    Sep 05 09:31 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break?
    No market goes straight down or up. There are always gyrations in the primary trend. And the primary trend is down for several reasons as you provided. House prices are unaffordable in most expensive markets across the country vs incomes. Until incomes and house prices trade at histoical levels of affordability then prices will head lower. Also on a rental equivalent basis it is still way more cheap to rent than buy.
    Owning a house is very expensive. the upkeep alone can be crushing along with escalating property taxes and insurance.
    For now many of the dolts that were buying houses at any prices are locked out of the market because they are either being foreclosed on or can't find a lender to hand them over the loot. Thank god this has come to an end. the country was on the verge or near going bellyup.
    Sep 05 09:28 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Leucadia's Key to Success
    Insiders sold a big slug of stock recently near the highs.
    how about giving more detail on the business makeup and the valuation?
    Sep 05 09:18 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • News Pitch: Why To Buy News Corp
    This article is weak in financial data.
    Aug 28 12:36 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Goldman Forecasts Japanese Equity Recovery from Mid-2009
    How about mentioning some of the big cap names trading near or at Book value with good dividends and attractive valuations?

    How does the valuation of ewj today look historically?
    Aug 26 09:55 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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