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- Wall Street Breakfast -Sample
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Investing Ideas -SampleSeeking Alpha - Investing IdeasCramer's Picks
- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- The Long Case for Encore Capital by Value Investor Insight
- 2009: The Year of the Channel for SaaS Vendors? by Jeff Kaplan
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
- Market Behaves Sanely - Fast Money Recap (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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The Fed's Big Gamble
In the past, a government controlled economy has always failed regardless when and where it was tried/imposed. Bailouts of failed businesses have never contributed to an economic progress. It just postponed the inevitable making a bad situation much more worst.
Bernanke's Great Lie: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression
Just recently, I visited a museum old American mid 19th century settlement in Massachusetts. It cost me $60 for three tickets, and I wad disappointed for a long drive and "nothing new" to see.
But, at the settlement square, I got inside a bank-museum. I learned that at that time people used almost exclusively coin money. At that time, banks just started to introduce "paper money". Under a glass I found a history of paper-money introduction. It was based up on a very simple principle: Creation of these paper-obligations was based on people TRUST in banks issuing these paper-obligations to convert these IOU in "real" money.
For the long years, America was an industrial superpower. The world was looking forward to buy American products and services, and US$ was supported by the US government to tax its people and businesses. Well, now it is a history. Now, US government is only capable of printing fiat-US$.
The 20th century has been full of lies:
* Socialists-Bolsheviks came to power in Russia promising to liberate worker and peasants from capitalistic oppression. Instead worker and peasants in Russia got slavery and concentration-extermin... camps well before NAZI Germany did the same on more "civilized" scale.
* Then, there was a big lie about the WWII: bad Germans and Japanese and good Soviet Communists, Americans and British. Germans indeed killed many people in gas-chambers but Americans were planning to gas the entire Japan (only nukes dropped over Japan made it unnecessary)
* Then we had lies about Vietnam, Iraq, etc., etc.,
* Now, we got a big lie of how America got into the present economic & financial crisis. It was just greedy real-estate agents and mortgage companies together with few misguided Wall-Street bankers. The lie goes on telling us that by printing more fiat-money all American & world problems will be solved. If only FDA has printed more fiat-money, there would not be any Great Depression. How convenient!!!!
Hedge Fund Redemptions May Crash Q1 Markets
The purpose is to keep insurance companies solvent. However, at some point, this support will bebome unsustainable. At this junction, DOW will dive down with Gold jumping up (unless Obama will follow FDR's Great Gold Robbery.)
Don't Be Scammed by Madoff Investor Sob Stories
- We pay taxes because we are forced to do so
- 90% of all charitable contributions are going to their management collecting quite often 6-digits compensations
- This "poor soles" can either get themselves a job (if they are not too old and/or sick) or, in addition to their $2,500 per months, they are getting another $2,500 from the Social Security for a total of $6,000 per years. This is even more that the majority of working Americans are living on
- Finally, it is the time for people to become responsible for their own activities and following consequences.
On Dec 21 the poster wrote:
> You have no idea what you are talking about. Many people who invested with Madoff gave away money to charities who ended up helping the poor and others. <
The Deflation Scam
- Dr. Friedman theories can be inaccurate or even wrong
- Not all Great Depressions are the same.
Just because a person and/or an economy are very sick, it must be treated the same. This is why we go to a good doctor to diagnose an illness and only then be treated with the right medicine. Aspirin is a great medication but will it does not do any good for a cancer or any bacterial infection.
On Dec 20 01:37 AM John Lounsbury wrote:
> A worthwhile addition to this discussion stream would be to recognize the role of velocity of money in inflation.
Inflation as a monetary phenomenon can be considered an increase in the nominal value of all transactions.
Milton Friedman made popular (created?) the following equation...
The Deflation Scam
- Execute a "controlled" deleveraging or
- "Manage" the US economy
If US government goal is to "manage" the economy then it will lead to a complete economic collapse (like it happened in Soviet Union and/or other "centrally planned" economies.)
If US government goal is to have a "controlled deleveraging" of US economy then they better must slow down their US$ printing presses. US economy is on "drugs", that is, it is on a huge foreign money & goods infusion.
The US foreign trade deficit is huge. US economy lost its international competitive edge some times ago, and it has to import huge quantity of industrial and consumer goods as well as almost all industrial commodities.
US government can not inflate itself out of the present economic catastrophe without becoming competitive without totally ruining American standards of living.
Any bailout of failed and inefficient US businesses must stopped (with exception for US strategic sector like national defence and security as well as major financial institution but, at the same time, these sectors must be modernized and become efficient). US must start making strategic investments in its economy promoting successful businesses.
Anything else will even more exacerbate the already terrible situation leading to civil unrests.
Rough Economic Seas Toss Many Boats, Including Oil Price
No alternative energy sources will be developed with oil below $75.
Remember that China is a communist state capable of surviving and prospering under very adversed consequences.
Oil Majors Should Just Buy Real Gold
It is obvious that governments all around world are printing endless quantities of paper money trying to inflate world economies out of coming depression.
Consequently, these paper-money must be converted into something tangible that will hold its value no matter what.
These tangible assets are gold, oil, gas, quality farm land and other valuable assets no government can print.
It is mind boggling how oil and gas producing states continue to exchange their oil, gas and other valuable commodities for useless pieces of paper called US$.
Remember that the USA foreign trade deficit is gigantic, i.e., the USA buys a lot and sells very little.
Own Gold? Time to Fold
Regardless of how much money is printed and/or how low interest rates are going down, it will do nothing to revive a free-market economy. The central planning system led to collapse of Soviet Union and all his satellites. It has no chance to succeed in the USA.
The fact is that both the Feds and Treasury have lost control of US economy. The only thing they are still capable of accomplish are
- to manipulate the Stock market and
- to prevent a collapse of US major banks
Like with Detroit, regardless of how much money given to them, Detroit auto industry will go into a bankruptcy since no fundamental problems are either addressed or solved.
Finally, comparing US economy with Japanese is outright stupid.
Bernie Madoff Comes Out of the Closet
The answer is YES!
Let us look at Bernie Madoff affair as it was told to us:
- Madoff alone, without anybody help and assistance, was running for 25 years plus a multi-billion dollar hedge fund that
- Had ~$50B (give or take a few) in assets
- Had at least 25 large clients
- Had to
-- Find new clients, promote and market his fund
-- Support financial, investment and administration and other array of business operations
-- Issue to its clients and IRS a mountain of financial statements and reports
-- Two of his sons as his Executive VPs
- And on and on and on and on
And
- NOBODY KNEW NOTHING
- His own family turned him to FBI finding that he was a crook.
What a story? It is just an incredible miracle!!!!! But is it?
People who believe in this story deserve their miserable destiny. It is that simple! It tells volumes about American people and the society as a whole.
PS
One more "fair story". About Detroit. Nobody in the entire world knew until Nov. 2008 that Detroit automakers are losing tons of money and running out of cash before the year-end.
The funny story is that NOBODY at the Wall-Street was arrested yet for ruining the US and world economy and robbing American people on a tune of tens of trillions dollars...WOW!
Auto Industry Watch: You Can't Get Different Results Doing the Same Thing
Why? There is no reason why American worker must be paid 4-5 times more than his/her Asian counterpart doing the same job. It is just that simple!
Auto Industry Watch: You Can't Get Different Results Doing the Same Thing
The most important that American taxpayers money MUST be used only for the good of ALL American people not just for Detroit parasites.
As for bailouts, instead of supporting losing businesses, American taxpayers money must be used for enhance and promote successful businesses benefiting the future for all.
Regardless of "bridge" money or not, the Detroit is dead. It is time to save America since the great economic & political crisis is just started.
Madoff Scandal: Where Was the SEC?
Well, the New York state governor is a blind person. It is perfectly convenient for so many...
As for Obama, he has no clue of what is going on. This is why he hired the entire former Clinton administrations.
The problem that arsonists (from both Clinton and Bush administrations and their masters from the Wall-Street) started a terrible fire and greatly miscalculated the consequences.
Fiat Money and a Profligate Congress: A Bad Combination
Fed's Chairman Burns tried to fight inflation and excessive money supply but Nixon stopped him dead.
So, indeed Paul Volcker did a good job but it was Ronald Reagan who allowed him to do so. Without Regan's consent, Volcker would not be able to stay on his inflation-fighting course since too many people and politicians wanted him out.
Do you remember as much Democrats blamed Reagan for running budget deficits? Somehow now, they do not care at all about deficits.
Finally, Reagan administration did not use their deficits bailing out failed companies but rather used it for investments in high-tech, science and defense.
PS
Note that Reagan was not perfect. His immigration policies and budget compromises with the Congress were not excusable. However, nobody can argue with his many achievements.
100 Year Bonds Make Sense