NutritionFacts

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  • Options Expiration Week
    How meaningless is this?
    Dec 18 07:35 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Forecasting a Year End Rally for the FTSE 100
    I've seen your stuff on marketoracle.co.uk. It's good stuff. Thanks.
    Nov 02 16:36 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Bull Continues to Run Backwards
    7150/10600. Sounds like a good way to make money, provided you're the one selling the trade to the potential mug who buys it. Isn't that the inverse of a strangle or straddle?
    Oct 22 15:08 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Similarities to U.S. 1937, Japan 1998
    Interesting. About 870 weeks you say. The trouble is, at this rate, the Dow will be at 1000 within a fortnight.
    Oct 09 18:42 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Why Libor Is the Key
    Good piece.
    Oct 09 12:25 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • U.S. Dollar Shaking Off Risk Aversion
    All can see is a consolidation at the moment on the DX. We are waiting patiently to see if the euro will break above 1.57 on its way to 1.60; or not.
    Jul 25 15:15 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Natural Gas Volatility Spiking
    Huge spike down today on the storage numbers. Looks for all the world like a blow-off bottom in the price and corresponding blow-off top in the volatility of NG alluded to above.
    Jul 24 17:27 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Financials: How - And When - We Reached the Bottom
    I heard there are about 100 other banks on the verge of going the same way as IndyMac et al. Can't remember where though.
    Frankly it's ridiculous to think you can pin the tail on the donkey like this. Any serious trader/investor would know that. More than ridiculous; dangerous.
    Jul 24 17:18 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Outlook for Oil: 2008 Thus Far and a Preview of Coming Attractions
    Thanks Jim for putting the effort into this article. It makes an interesting read, regardless of one's viewpoint.
    Mar 06 17:13 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Short Comment on Shorting
    Shorting: more difficult, definitely, but only because of the occupational hazard of The Squeeze. This does have the perverse advantage though of minimising portfolio risk: I am more conservative with my short positions simply because they are more risky.
    Timing is everything.
    Feb 24 10:45 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Commodity Analysts Believe the Party's Over
    Wow. Some strongly held opinions here, nearly all of them in the 'this is just the beginning' camp. The crux of the 'this is just the beginning, there is no way back' camp's argument, is that there is just too much demand and not enough supply, and the situation is only going to get worse.
    Hmm. So, all of you, how much exactly of the rise in the prices of these commodities is due to 'too much demand and not enough supply'? You all implicitly believe that that, and that alone, is responsible for the rises in the prices of these commodities. I am astounded. I mean, you all have *such insight* into the individual trades pushing up these prices. You are all very lucky.
    Personally, I am inclined to see the consensus of views here as the nascent beginnings at least of a contrarian indicator.
    Feb 23 12:00 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Dow 15,000 Will Be Here Sooner Than You Think
    "Remember in 03 and 04 when we had our ‘jobless recovery’? Markets did great and the economy did only pretty good. Look for that again this year."

    Erm, markets did great in 03, yes, in percentage terms, from low to high, but that said they only recovered up to early 02's high after having cratered by 30+% throughout 02, and indeed in 04 they did nothing but go sideways. But, in any case, are we at the same stage in the cycle now as we were then (i.e. in early 03)? Have the markets dropped by 30% (yet)? Are the issues being faced the same as they were back then? Er, it looks to me like it's no, no and no. So, maybe you're right, but maybe, you're wrong.
    Feb 10 09:20 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Unique Opportunity in Blackstone Group
    There must be very good arguments against buying a company whose existence seems to be predicated on the easy availability of credit, and significant amounts of it at that, at a time when the capital markets are in or going into a tailspin.
    Feb 10 09:04 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Housing Bubble Within a Bubble
    For Gawdsake, you can't rent forever. It's not *all* about buying at the bottom. And just thank your lucky stars that you're not looking to buy in London. You Yanks can get lovely spacious 6 bedroom houses with 3 bathrooms for peanuts; in London you can't get a 1 bed / 1bath shoebox in a decent area (of which there are not many) for less than 250K (GBP i.e. 500K USD).
    Feb 10 08:41 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Remember The 3-Alarm Sell Signal?
    Indeed. A quick check on 't internet confirms the signal was given in 07, not 06 as marked on the chart. NIL POINTS POUR MONSIEUR BABAK!!!!

    ftalphaville.ft.com/bl.../
    Feb 09 09:58 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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