chrispycrunch

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    • Sun Nov 16th 19:12 PM
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      Rating: +1 0
      Commented on:
      Miserable October Retail Sales: Eye on Oil, Autos and Housing
      the longer home prices fail to stabilize, the longer it will take for market to stabilize. so far we have not had a single 2-month stabilization in homes.
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    • Wed Oct 8th 11:35 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      S&P 500 Safety Over 5-Year and 10-Year Periods
      A thorough analysis. I like the point you make about statistics being useful for two sides of a story.
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    • Tue Oct 7th 15:07 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Seven Thoughts on Capitulation
      The problem with the observations/comments is that we won't know a bottom is in place until after the fact. Traders who risk money now will be rewarded if correct. Traders who missed the bottom but see a market recovery will pay a premium for it but it will be well worth it. Think of a falling market. Who has the best risk/reward? It's the latter group.
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    • Thu Sep 25th 17:25 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Perfect Storm: Even with Bailout, Economy Is Hurting
      This is a good counterargument to the market assumption that the latest gov't bailout will magically make jobless claims decline, housing prices increase, and consumers to start spending again.
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    • Mon Sep 22nd 12:20 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Buy the Rumors, Sell the Facts
      The market simply needs time...maybe months, maybe years...to sort out the liquidity markets. The govt is catching a falling knife though, the knife being the housing market.
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    • Mon Sep 22nd 11:26 AM
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      Commented on:
      Today's Federal Action Will Alter the Face of Finance
      If home prices don't stop falling and consumers remain strained, this plan will only amplify (by creating greater debt on the consumer, through taxes) the same root problem: a weak housing market.
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    • Thu Sep 18th 11:41 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Another Oversold Watch: Is This One Different?
      Your chart is very bullish - i came across another one suggesting a bear market for the next 20 years. This is highly possible, for no economic indicator suggests there is anything to be bullish about. Where's the growth? Who's leading sectors? Who's consuming? We can't depend on the US as the leader of the world economy any more.
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    • Thu Sep 18th 11:34 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Making Sense of the Brokerage Bust
      Harsh words, but well-written and very true.
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    • Wed Sep 17th 14:38 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Are We There Yet? Not Even Close.
      Which came first: the chicken or the egg? Real estate prices must stabilize on 60 days as well, otherwise financial companies will continue to suffer losses.
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    • Fri Sep 5th 13:20 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      RBC Analysts Expect Potash Corp. Stock to Double
      Technicals are very negative, even if fundamentals are strong. Sentiment for commodities is negative. Two reasons not to go long on POT right now.
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    • Wed Sep 3rd 10:00 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Three Reasons Solar Sell-off May Be in Early Innings
      If you think of the % of the energy market that solar power represents, it is very, very small. Investors were clearly too happy with this sector. I agree. SELL or SHORT.
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    • Thu Jul 31st 10:14 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Home Prices in 20 Major Cities: You're OK If...
      +1 Helpful.
      You know what would be helpful would be to determine the % who bought before those dates, and to compare it to those who bought after that date. It the ones who hold mortgages for properties bought at the peak who will be likely to default.
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    • Thu Jul 31st 10:12 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      It's Hard to Be a Bear: Resist the Urge to Buy These Scarred Stocks
      My thoughts exactly, right to the very negative point of sentiment. As I have blogged, the market is itching for something to happen, but a lot of it is wait and see. The housing market has to play itself out. The rebate cheque bandaid after-effects remain to be seen. Oil prices still threaten to go up (is China/India growing or slowing? We don't know for certain!)
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    • Mon Jul 28th 11:11 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Housing: No Bottom Yet in Sight
      You have made several strong points. I am in total agreement that we have not yet seen the bottom. Stabilizing the credit market though is a first step, otherwise the housing market will spiral downward without intervention.

      What troubles me though is the unlimited tax dollars the govt. appears to have right now. It's going to cost somebody something, so the question is what? Consumers via higher taxes? Greater US debt resulting in an even lower USD?
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    • Mon Jul 28th 11:07 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Has the Dollar Bottomed?
      I'm not so sure the Fed would want to raise rates. Raising rates has no impact on the price of oil or the price of food. The Govt is focused right now on loosening the credit markets and as such need to leave rates where they are.
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