Tony Daltorio

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    • Thu Dec 4th 10:44 AM
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      Rating: 0 -1
      Commented on:
      The American Crisis and the Case for an Inflationary Depression
      CLH, you are the one who is delusionary. Deflation is just some erotic fantasy dreamed up by greedy bond market guys and promoted by the shills on CNBC. It's the latest get rich quick scheme dreamed up by Wall Street. You will NEVER see it in the US except for anything more than a few months.


      On Dec 03 08:42 AM CLH wrote:

      > You are delusionary. There is no possible way to make a deflation
      > into inflation by magic. Print money? Not possible because no one
      > will borrow it.
      >
      > This is a deflation (like Japan had) which is caused by the elimination
      > of debt which causes the disappearance of money.
      View article »
    • Wed Dec 3rd 12:55 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Coming Dollar Deflation
      This article is a waste of time. First of all, the current consensus is that deflation is here, along with "king dollar" forever. The writer is obviously a short-term trend follower. These type of people NEVER make money over any term longer than a few months.
      View article »
    • Fri Nov 21st 10:53 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Downfall of Keynesian Economics and the U.S. (Part 3 of 3)
      How "safe" do you think your Treasuries will be when the government needs to fund untold trillions of dollars over the next few years and none of the regular foreign buyers show up because they are too busy funding the needs in their own troubled economies?? The last remaining bubbles of American finance - Treasuries and the US Dollar - will burst and like all burst bubbles,it will be a mess. Or do you arrogantly assume that foreigners will let their own people starve just to save arrogant Americans like you??


      On Nov 21 08:58 AM BS Detector wrote:

      > Once again, the author fails in his stated attempt to lay blame for
      > our ills at the feet of John Maynard Keynes. The discussions here
      > have very little to do with Keynesian theory at all.
      >
      > Now, specific problems:
      >
      > 1. If the banker is aware that there is only $300 in the monetary
      > base, and he has it all, he won't be a banker. Why would he lend
      > out money if there isn't any money to repay as interest?
      >
      > 2. "The answer is hyperinflation, and that is most likely the course
      > that the Federal Reserve will take." Most likely based on what?
      >
      >
      > 3. You show the scary monetary base chart, which takes off higher
      > in the end. What you don't show is the actions of banks in the last
      > year, while they have been deleveraging like mad to raise their capital
      > levels. This IS a decrease in the overall money supply (which we
      > used to measure - M3), and the fed's recent actions are meant to
      > counteract this hugely deflationary action by the banking industry.
      >
      >
      > 4. "Those signs come in the form of negative net sales of U.S. treasuries
      > by foreigners..." Really? Why then is the dollar appreciating against
      > all currencies except the Yen and why then are treasuries currently
      > trading at historically low yields?
      >
      > 5. "...credit crunch making new loans more and more unavailable..."
      > Which is because the banks have had to deleverage in response to
      > much greater potential losses than previously expected.
      >
      > 6. "...and the deflation seen in financial markets." And commodity
      > markets. And all other markets EXCEPT for US Treasury securities,
      > which are seen by the market as SAFER THAN ANYTHING ELSE.
      >
      > 7. "The U.S. government and Federal Reserve will fight this with
      > every tool they have, resulting in an end game of hyperinflation."
      > Hogwash. The preferred share investments by the TARP aer structured
      > such that as the banks regain their footing, take their losses, and
      > start to function normally again, they will have a strong incentive
      > to pay off the loans (reducing the monetary base) as they increase
      > to normal levels their leverage (increasing the monetary base). The
      > Fed and Treasury are well aware that in normal times their actions
      > would be highly inflationary. These are not normal times.
      >
      > 8. More worthless, unsupported attacks on Keynesianism. And then:
      > "We had a near implosion as a result of these theories in the early
      > 1980’s." Without even a mention of the oil shocks of the early 1970s,
      > which sent inflation rippling through the economy, or of the institution
      > and repeal of wage and price controls, which, like a coiled spring,
      > sent prices much higher. These had nothing to do with Keynes, and
      > had much more impact on prices in the late 1970s than anything related
      > to theory specific to Keynes'.
      >
      > 9. Let us not forget that Ronald Reagan's huge deficit spending (well,
      > at least at first, during the recessions) fell nicely into line with
      > Keynesian theory.
      View article »
    • Wed Nov 12th 16:09 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Great Expectations for Obama, But Not the Markets
      I don't care if it's caused by greed (tech & real estate) or fear (Treasuries)--- a bubble is a bubble is a bubble. When this bubble bursts, there will be more huge losses for the Wall Street community.


      On Nov 11 08:42 PM Georealist wrote:

      > After reading JasonCs post I feel like I need a United Nations Translator...what
      > can he possibly mean..if anything? The real price of something IS..what
      > people pay for it in the market! Or is someone talking to him privately
      > and only JasonC and a few select others know the REAL answer?
      > As for the article..there will always be optimism about something..what's
      > the point? The flight to treasuries is defensive and fear driven..hardly
      > the stuff of great investing or bubbles.....
      >
      View article »
    • Tue Nov 11th 13:02 PM
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      Rating: +2 0
      Commented on:
      Great Expectations for Obama, But Not the Markets
      I agree with what you are saying. The people with money - China, MidEast, etc. will spend the money they have helping their own people, NOT bailing out the US. I think that when the massive Treasury refundings really begin in earnest next year, Wall Street will be shocked that most of the foreign investors who normally buy Treasuries won't show up.


      On Nov 11 08:36 AM David Martin wrote:

      > Spot on analysis.
      > What is your take on the impact of the Chinese plans to spend another
      > $300 billion a year themselves, leaving them with little budget surplus
      > and presumably buying less US Treasury bonds?
      > I(t soundds bad for US funding and the dollar.
      View article »
    • Fri Oct 31st 14:45 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Why Jim Rogers Is Still Bullish on Grains and Gold
      Anyone who follows Jim Rogers over the long-term has and will continue to make a bundle of money. It's only the short-term trader mentality types(who think one week is long-term) who don't like Jim Rogers.
      View article »
    • Sat Oct 11th 16:59 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Jim Rogers Speaks Out - Where Is He Putting His Money?
      The people who criticize Jim Rogers are the same people who missed the entire move in emerging markets and commodities. Wake up! You are seeing the movement of the wealth in the world from Western nations to Eastern nations. Jim spotted these trends decades ago! Just keep sticking with loser US stocks.....don't worry everyone, Apple will save us all.....get real! The US market is back to where is was 15 years ago!! I know it's hard for many people--think long-term investing, not buying Monday and selling Friday.
      View article »
    • Wed Sep 24th 19:43 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Black Hole Nearly Swallows Wall Street
      Scared Stiff is right - our country seems headed toward more of a socialism mix like Mussolini's.
      View article »
    • Wed Sep 24th 10:06 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Don't Be Fooled - Short Selling Restrictions Do Work
      Let's be fair. How about also banning the obvious and blatant "mark ups" on stocks that occur at the end of each quarter by fund managers? Or is
      "manipulation&quo... ok on the upside?
      View article »
    • Tue Sep 23rd 13:14 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Oil Price Speculation Truth Begins to Leak into Mainstream Media
      What a ridiculous article! Holding the price of oil to $40-$80/bbl will only result in the world's oil flowing to China,other emerging markets,and other countries willing to pay the 'real' price for oil. There will be no oil available for America to use.
      View article »
    • Wed Sep 3rd 13:16 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Of Wars and Strategic Metals
      What a great article! And you are right - if you want to know what is really going on in the world, ignore the US media and especially the US financial media. The US media reminds me of the old Soviet Union media outlets- Pravda & Tass.
      View article »
    • Wed Sep 3rd 13:08 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Slow Start of Deflation: A Case for Bonds
      Anyone owning bonds at these levels is a fool who will soon be parted from their money.
      View article »
    • Wed Aug 27th 10:25 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize
      This article is spot on! I make sure my clients have a good portion of their assets in foreign stocks or they're not my clients. Over the past 4 years, they have averaged a total return of nearly 200%. Personally, I have 95% of my portfolio in foreign stocks and commodities.
      View article »
    • Sun Aug 17th 12:09 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Oil: Demand Destruction Overdone?
      Brilliant article! Anyone who is hanging their hat on 'demand destruction' does not understand American consumers and is probably a clueless short-term trader.
      View article »
    • Wed Aug 13th 10:20 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Will American Changes in Energy Consumption Stick?
      I think you will find that within a few short weeks,that with gasoline below $4 again,US gasoline consumption will be back up to its old highs. Americans will not give up their current lifestyle unless they are forced to. The only way gasoline consumption will drop on a more permanent basis is to have high gas prices($5+) for years.
      View article »